SportPesa Mega Jackpot at a glance
| Run by | SportPesa (Kenya) |
|---|---|
| Games | 17 (Pro versions: 16, 15, 14, 13) |
| Price | KSh 99 per line |
| Doubles and triples | doubles on up to 10 games, triples on up to 5 |
| Prizes below the top prize | 16, 15, 14, 13, 12 correct out of 17 |
| Top prize | Starts at KSh 100 million and grows every week it is not won |
| Closes | Before the first kick-off |
| On the coupon | 1 = home win, X = draw, 2 = away win |
How the SportPesa Mega Jackpot works
SportPesa picks 17 football matches and you predict the result of each one: 1 for a home win, X for a draw and 2 for an away win. Only the result after normal time counts. One prediction for every game is one line; covering two results of a game (a double) or all three (a triple) multiplies the lines, and the cost, by 2 or 3.
SportPesa Mega Jackpot Pro: playing fewer games
| Version | Games you predict | Bonuses for |
|---|---|---|
| Pro 17 | 17 | 12, 13, 14, 15 and 16 correct |
| Pro 16 | 16 | 11, 12, 13, 14 and 15 correct |
| Pro 15 | 15 | 10 to 14 correct |
| Pro 14 | 14 | 10, 11, 12 and 13 correct |
| Pro 13 | 13 | 10, 11 and 12 correct |
Your real chances
Every extra game makes a perfect card much harder. This table shows the chance of getting all 17 right, and of reaching a prize, for a blind guess and for a tipster who is right 40% to 60% of the time on each game.
| Picks right | All 17 right | 12+ right (any prize) |
|---|---|---|
| Blind guess (33%) | 1 in 129,140,163 | 0.187% (1 in 533) |
| 40% per pick | 1 in 5,820,766 | 1.06% (1 in 94) |
| 50% per pick | 1 in 131,072 | 7.17% (1 in 14) |
| 55% per pick | 1 in 25,932 | 14.7% (1 in 7) |
| 60% per pick | 1 in 5,908 | 26.4% (1 in 4) |
The chance of each prize tier
| Correct | At 50% per pick | At 60% per pick |
|---|---|---|
| 17 of 17 (top prize) | 0.000763% | 0.0169% |
| 16 of 17 | 0.013% | 0.192% |
| 15 of 17 | 0.104% | 1.02% |
| 14 of 17 | 0.519% | 3.41% |
| 13 of 17 | 1.82% | 7.96% |
| 12 of 17 | 4.72% | 13.8% |
What doubles and triples cost
The cost is the price of one line times the number of lines. The last column assumes each single is right half the time and each double 80% of the time. Try your own numbers in the jackpot calculator.
| Ticket | Lines | Cost | Chance of all 17 right |
|---|---|---|---|
| Singles only | 1 | KSh 99 | 1 in 131,072 |
| 1 double | 2 | KSh 198 | 1 in 81,920 |
| 2 doubles | 4 | KSh 396 | 1 in 51,200 |
| 3 doubles | 8 | KSh 792 | 1 in 32,000 |
| 5 doubles | 32 | KSh 3,168 | 1 in 12,500 |
| 1 triple | 3 | KSh 297 | 1 in 65,536 |
| 3 triples | 27 | KSh 2,673 | 1 in 16,384 |
| 2 doubles + 1 triple | 12 | KSh 1,188 | 1 in 25,600 |
| 3 doubles + 2 triples | 72 | KSh 7,128 | 1 in 8,000 |
How to approach the SportPesa Mega Jackpot
Start from the chances, not the names. A big club away from home is often closer to 45% than to the 70% its name suggests. Pick the most likely result of every game, then look at how sure each pick really is.
Spend doubles on the closest games. A double on a 40% pick that has a 30% second choice lifts that game to 70%. The same double on a 75% favourite adds little. Our bonus ticket puts its 5 doubles where they add the most.
Do not fear the draw. Around a quarter of football matches end level, so a coupon of 17 games will usually hold several draws. A ticket with no X on it is betting against the numbers.
Play for the bonus, hope for the jackpot. 12 out of 17 is a realistic target for a careful ticket; all 17 is a lottery-sized chance even for the best tipster.
Never chase. A jackpot is entertainment. Decide what a week's ticket may cost before you open the coupon, and never buy more lines to win back last week.
Rules worth knowing
- Results count after 90 minutes plus added time; extra time and penalties do not count.
- The jackpot and every bonus tier are shared equally between the winners of that tier.
- Doubles are allowed on up to 10 games and triples on up to 5; a mixed ticket may cover up to 10 games.
- Postponed or abandoned matches are settled under SportPesa's terms.
- Kenya taxes betting winnings, and the operator deducts the tax before paying out.
Rules last checked on 2026-10-16. Operators change their terms, so confirm them on SportPesa's site or app. We are not linked to SportPesa.
SportPesa Mega Jackpot prediction: frequently asked questions
How many games are in the SportPesa Mega Jackpot?
17. Mega Jackpot Pro also lets you play a 13, 14, 15 or 16 game version of the same card for smaller prizes.
How much does a Mega Jackpot ticket cost?
KSh 99 per line. Every double multiplies the lines by 2 and every triple by 3, so five doubles cost 32 lines, KSh 3,168.
How many correct games win a bonus?
12 or more out of 17. Bonuses are paid for 12, 13, 14, 15 and 16 correct, and the jackpot for all 17.
Are SportPesa Mega Jackpot predictions guaranteed?
No. Nobody can guarantee a jackpot result: each game is a real football match. Our picks are the most likely result of each game, worked out from data and prices, and we publish how many we got right every round.
When are the SportPesa Mega Jackpot predictions published?
As soon as SportPesa publishes the coupon. The chances are updated as prices move until the coupon closes, so check again close to kick-off.
Can I buy fixed SportPesa Mega Jackpot results?
No, and anyone who sells them is running a scam. Jackpot games are real matches between real teams; a seller who knew the results would not need your money.
Other Kenya jackpots
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Every Kenya jackpot on one page: Kenya jackpot predictions.
18+ only. A jackpot is a game of chance: play for fun, set a budget and never chase losses. Read our responsible gambling page.